Lessons from the Asian Crisis

NBER Working Paper No. 7102 (Also Reprint No. r2278)^*
Issued in August 2000
NBER Program(s): IFM ME

---- Abstract -----

This paper provides an asymmetric information analysis of the recent East Asian crisis. It then outlines several lessons from this crisis. First, there is a strong rationale for an international lender of last resort. Second, without appropriate conditionality for this lending, the moral hazard created by operation of an international lender of last resort can promote financial instability. Third, although capital flows did contribute to the crisis, they are a symptom rather than an underlying cause of the crisis, suggesting exchange controls are unlikely to be a useful strategy to avoid future crises. Fourth, pegged exchange-rate regimes are a dangerous strategy for emerging market countries and make financial crises more likely.

^*Published: Journal of International Money and Finance, Vol. 18, no. 4 (August 1999): 709-723. Published as "Lessons from the Tequila Crisis", Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 23, no. 10 (October 1999): 1521-1533.

Would you like an annual subscription to NBER Working Papers? Click here for more information.

You may purchase this paper on-line in .pdf format from SSRN.com ($5) for electronic delivery.
Information for subscribers and others expecting no-cost downloads

Machine-readable bibliographic record - MARC, RIS, BibTeX