Strict Dollarization and Economic Performance: An Empirical Investigation

Sebastian Edwards, I. Igal Magendzo

NBER Working Paper No. 9820*
Issued in July 2003
NBER Program(s):   IFM

---- Abstract -----

In this paper we analyze the macroeconomic record of 'strictly dollarized' economies. In particular we investigate whether dollarized countries have historically exhibited faster growth and lower volatility than countries with a domestic currency. We analyze this issue by using a treatment regression analysis that estimates jointly the probability of being a dollarized country, and outcome equations. Our analysis indicates that the probability of being a dollarized country depends on regional, geographical, political and structural variables. Our results also suggest GDP per capita growth has not been statistically different in dollarized and in non-dollarized ones. We also find that volatility has been significantly higher in dollarized than in non-dollarized economies. These results are robust to the estimation technique, and to the sample used.

*Published: Edwards, Sebastian and I. Igal Magendzo. "Dollarization And Economic Performance: What Do We Really Know?," International Journal of Finance and Economics, 2003, v8(4,Oct), 351-363.

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