TY - JOUR AU - Ottaviano,Gianmarco I.P. AU - Peri,Giovanni TI - Rethinking the Effects of Immigration on Wages JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12497 PY - 2006 Y2 - August 2006 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12497 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12497.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Gianmarco Ottaviano Department of Economics Bocconi University Via Roentgen 1 20136 Milan Italy E-Mail: gianmarco.ottaviano@unibocconi.it Giovanni Peri Department of Economics University of California, Davis One Shields Avenue Davis, CA 95616 Tel: 530/752-3033 E-Mail: gperi@ucdavis.edu AB - This paper asks the following question: what was the effect of surging immigration on average and individual wages of U.S.-born workers during the period 1990-2004? We emphasize the need for a general equilibrium approach to analyze this problem. The impact of immigrants on wages of U.S.-born workers can be evaluated only by accounting carefully for labor market and capital market interactions in production. Using such a general equilibrium approach we estimate that immigrants are imperfect substitutes for U.S.- born workers within the same education-experience-gender group (because they choose different occupations and have different skills). Moreover, accounting for a reasonable speed of adjustment of physical capital we show that most of the wage effects of immigration accrue to native workers within a decade. These two facts imply a positive and significant effect of the 1990-2004 immigration on the average wage of U.S.-born workers overall, both in the short run and in the long run. This positive effect results from averaging a positive effect on wages of U.S.-born workers with at least a high school degree and a small negative effect on wages of U.S.-born workers with no high school degree. ER -