TY - JOUR AU - Gourio,Francois AU - Kashyap,Anil K TI - Investment Spikes: New Facts and a General Equilibrium Exploration JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 13157 PY - 2007 Y2 - June 2007 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w13157 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w13157.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Francois Gourio Dept of Finance Wharton School, U of Pennsylvania 3620 Locust Walk Philadelphia, PA 19104 Tel: 6177922066 E-Mail: fgourio@bu.edu Anil Kashyap Graduate School of Business The University of Chicago 5807 S. Woodlawn Avenue Chicago, IL 60637 Tel: 773/702-7260 Fax: 773/702-0458 E-Mail: anil.kashyap@gsb.uchicago.edu AB - Using plant-level data from Chile and the U.S. we show that investment spikes are highly pro-cyclical, so much so that changes in the number of establishments undergoing investment spikes (the "extensive margin") account for the bulk of variation in aggregate investment. The number of establishments undergoing investment spikes also has independent predictive power for aggregate investment, even controlling for past investment and sales. We re-calibrate the Thomas (2002) model (that includes fixed costs of investing) so that it assigns a prominent role to extensive adjustment. The recalibrated model has different properties than the standard RBC model for some shocks. ER -