@techreport{NBERw13861, title = "A Solution to the Default Risk-Business Cycle Disconnect", author = "Enrique G. Mendoza and Vivian Z. Yue", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "13861", year = "2008", month = "March", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w13861", }