TY - JOUR AU - Lucarelli,Claudio AU - Prince,Jeffrey AU - Simon,Kosali TI - The Welfare Impact of Reducing Choice in Medicare Part D: A Comparison of Two Regulation Strategies JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 14296 PY - 2008 Y2 - September 2008 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14296 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14296.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Claudio Lucarelli Assistant Professor Department of Policy Analysis and Management Cornell University MVR Hall Ithaca, NY 14853-4401 E-Mail: cl443@cornell.edu Jeffrey Prince Associate Professor Department of Business Economics and Public Policy Kelley School of Business Indiana University 1309 E. Tenth St. Bloomington, IN 47405 E-Mail: jeffprin@indiana.edu Kosali I. Simon School of Public and Environmental Affairs Indiana University Rm 359 1315 East Tenth Street Bloomington, IN 47405-1701 Tel: (812) 856-3850 E-Mail: simonkos@indiana.edu AB - Motivated by widely publicized concerns that there are “too many” plans, we structurally estimate (and validate) an equilibrium model of the Medicare Part D market to study the welfare impacts of two feasible, similar-sized approaches for reducing choice. One reduces the maximum number of firm offerings regionally; the other removes plans providing donut hole coverage – consumers’ most valued dimension. We find welfare losses are far smaller when coupled with elimination of a dimension of differentiation, as in the latter approach. We illustrate our findings’ relevance under current health care reforms, and consider the merits of instead imposing ex ante competition for entry. ER -