TY - JOUR AU - Antràs,Pol AU - Foley,C. Fritz TI - Regional Trade Integration and Multinational Firm Strategies JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 14891 PY - 2009 Y2 - April 2009 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14891 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14891.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Pol Antràs Department of Economics Harvard University 1805 Cambridge Street Littauer Center 207 Cambridge, MA 02138 Tel: 617/495-1236 Fax: 617/495-8570 E-Mail: pantras@fas.harvard.edu C. Fritz Foley Graduate School of Business Administration Harvard University Soldiers Field Boston, MA 02163 Tel: 617/495-6375 Fax: 617/496-8443 E-Mail: ffoley@hbs.edu AB - This paper analyzes the effects of the formation of a regional trade agreement on the level and nature of multinational firm activity. We examine aggregate data that captures the response of U.S. multinational firms to the formation of the ASEAN free trade agreement. Observed patterns guide the development of a model in which heterogeneous firms from a source country decide how to serve two foreign markets. Following a reduction in tariffs on trade between the two foreign countries, the model predicts growth in the number of source-country firms engaging in foreign direct investment, growth in the size of affiliates that are active in reforming countries both before and after the tariff reduction, and an increase in the extent to which the sales of affiliates in reforming countries are directed towards other reforming countries. Analysis of firm-level responses to the creation of the ASEAN free trade agreement yields results that are consistent with these predictions. ER -