TY - JOUR AU - Moretti,Enrico AU - Neidell,Matthew TI - Pollution, Health, and Avoidance Behavior: Evidence from the Ports of Los Angeles JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 14939 PY - 2009 Y2 - May 2009 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14939 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14939.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Enrico Moretti University of California, Berkeley Department of Economics 549 Evans Hall Berkeley, CA 94720-3880 Tel: 510/642 6649 Fax: 510/643 7042 E-Mail: moretti@econ.berkeley.edu Matthew J. Neidell Department of Health Policy and Management Columbia University 600 W 168th Street, 6th Floor New York, NY 10032 Tel: 212/342-4522 Fax: 212/305-3405 E-Mail: mn2191@columbia.edu AB - A pervasive problem in the literature on the health costs of pollution is that optimizing individuals may compensate for increases in pollution by reducing their exposure to protect their health. This implies that estimates of the health effects of pollution may vastly understate the full welfare effects of pollution, particularly for individuals most at risk who have the greatest incentive to adopt compensatory behavior. Furthermore, using ambient monitors to approximate individual exposure to pollution may induce considerable measurement error. We overcome these issues by estimating the short run effects of ozone on respiratory related health conditions using daily boat arrivals and departures into the two major ports of Los Angeles as an instrumental variable for ozone levels. While daily variation in boat traffic is a major contributor to local ozone pollution, time-varying pollution due to port activity is arguably a randomly determined event uncorrelated with factors related to health. Instrumental variable estimates are significantly larger than OLS estimates, indicating the importance of accounting for avoidance behavior and measurement error in understanding the full welfare effects from pollution. ER -