TY - JOUR AU - Dafny,Leemore AU - Duggan,Mark AU - Ramanarayanan,Subramaniam TI - Paying a Premium on Your Premium? Consolidation in the U.S. Health Insurance Industry JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 15434 PY - 2009 Y2 - October 2009 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15434 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15434.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Leemore Dafny Department of Management and Strategy Kellogg School of Management Northwestern University 2001 Sheridan Road Evanston, IL 60208-2001 Tel: 847/467-7511 Fax: 847/467-1777 E-Mail: l-dafny@kellogg.northwestern.edu Mark Duggan The Wharton School University of Pennsylvania 1452 Steinberg Hall-Dietrich Hall 3620 Locust Walk Philadelphia, PA 19104 Tel: 215-898-0928 Fax: 215-898-7635 E-Mail: mduggan@wharton.upenn.edu Subramaniam Ramanarayanan UCLA Anderson School of Management 110 Westwood Plaza, D-513 Los Angeles, CA 90095 E-Mail: subbu@anderson.ucla.edu AB - We examine whether and to what extent consolidation in the U.S. health insurance industry is leading to higher employer-sponsored insurance premiums. We make use of a proprietary, panel dataset of employer-sponsored healthplans enrolling over 10 million Americans annually between 1998 and 2006 to explore the relationship between premium growth and changes in market concentration. We exploit the differential impact of a large national merger of two insurance firms across local markets to estimate the causal effect of concentration on market-level premiums. We estimate real premiums increased by approximately 7 percentage points (in a typical market) due to the rise in concentration during our study period. We also find evidence that consolidation facilitates the exercise of monopsonistic power vis a vis physicians, whose absolute employment and relative earnings decline in its wake. ER -