Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of Deficit Targeting
Working Paper 1814
DOI 10.3386/w1814
Issue Date
Somemacroeconomic effects of deficit targeting are estimated in thispaper using my U.S. econometric model. The response of the economy to realand price shocks is examined in a number of cases. Each case corresponds toa particular assumption about fiscal policy and a particular assumptionabout monetary policy. Estimates are also presented of the size of thegovernment spending cuts that are needed to meet a given deficit goal underdifferent assumptions about monetary policy.