TY - JOUR AU - Philipson,Tomas J. AU - Posner,Richard A. TI - The Long-Run Growth in Obesity as a Function of Technological Change JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 7423 PY - 1999 Y2 - November 1999 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7423 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7423.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Tomas Philipson Irving B. Harris Graduate School of Public Policy Studies University of Chicago 1155 E. 60th Street Chicago, IL 60637 Tel: 773/502-7773 E-Mail: t-philipson@uchicago.edu AB - This paper analyzes the factors contributing to the worldwide long-run rise in obesity and the effects of public interventions on its continued growth. The growth of obesity in a population results from an increase in calorie consumption relative to physical activity. Yet in developed countries, obesity has grown with modest rises in calorie consumption and with a substantial increase in both dieting and recreational exercise. We consider the economic incentives that give rise to a growth in obesity by stimulating intake of calories while discouraging the expending of calories on physical activity. We argue that technological change provides a natural interpretation of the long-run growth in obesity despite a rise in dieting and exercise, that it predicts that the effect of income on obesity falls with economic development, and that it implies that the growth in obesity may be self-limiting. ER -