TY - JOUR AU - Fogel,Robert W. TI - Changes in the Process of Aging During the Twentieth Century: Findings and Procedures of the Early Indicators Project JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 9941 PY - 2003 Y2 - September 2003 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9941 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9941.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Robert W. Fogel Director, Center for Population Economics University of Chicago, Booth School of Business 5807 S. Woodlawn Avenue, Suite 367 Chicago, IL 60637 Tel: 773/702-7709 Fax: 773/702-2901 E-Mail: rwf@cpe.uchicago.edu AB - The program project Early Indicators of Later Work Levels, Disease and Death investigates how socioeconomic and environmental factors in early life can shape health and work levels in later life. Project researchers have approached this problem by creating a life-cycle sample that permits a longitudinal study of the aging of Union Army veterans, the first cohort to reach age 65 during the twentieth century. Comparing Union Army data with data from NHANES and NHIS has shown that age-specific prevalence rates of specific chronic diseases and disabilities were much higher in the century before World War II among both young and old than today. Moreover, the number of comorbidities at each age has fallen sharply. Also, the average age at onset of chronic diseases was more than a decade later at the end of the twentieth century than at the beginning. The implications of these findings for several issues in health economics are discussed. ER -