Immigration Policy Lab
616 Jane Stanford Way
Encina Hall West
Stanford, CA 94305-6044
Institutional Affiliation: Stanford University
NBER Working Papers and Publications
|October 2019||The Labor Market Effects of Mexican Repatriations: Longitudinal Evidence from the 1930s|
with Jongkwan Lee, Giovanni Peri: w26399
We examine the labor market consequences of an extensive campaign repatriating around 400,000 Mexicans in 1929-34. To identify a causal effect, we instrument county level repatriations with the existence of a railway line to Mexico interacted with the size of the Mexican communities in 1910. Using individual linked data we find that Mexican repatriations reduced employment of native incumbent workers and resulted in their occupational downgrading. However, using a repeated cross section of county level data, we find attenuated and non-significant employment effects and amplified wage downgrading. We show that this is due to selective in- and out-migration of natives.
|September 2017||The Employment Effects of Mexican Repatriations: Evidence from the 1930's|
with Jongkwan Lee, Giovanni Peri: w23885
During the period 1929-34 a campaign forcing the repatriation of Mexicans and Mexican Americans was carried out in the U.S. by states and local authorities. The claim of politicians at the time was that repatriations would reduce local unemployment and give jobs to Americans, alleviating the local effects of the Great Depression. This paper uses this episode to examine the consequences of Mexican repatriations on labor market outcomes of natives. Analyzing 893 cities using full count decennial Census data in the period 1930-40, we find that repatriation of Mexicans was associated with small decreases in native employment and increases in native unemployment. These results are robust to the inclusion of many controls. We then apply an instrumental variable strategy based on the differential...
|December 2015||The Labor Market Effects of a Refugee Wave: Applying the Synthetic Control Method to the Mariel Boatlift|
with Giovanni Peri: w21801
We apply the Synthetic Control Method to re-examine the labor market effects of the Mariel Boatlift, first studied by David Card (1990). This method improves on previous studies by choosing a control group of cities that best matches Miami’s labor market trends pre-Boatlift and providing more reliable inference. Using a sample of non-Cuban high-school dropouts we find no significant difference in the wages of workers in Miami relative to its control after 1980. We also show that by focusing on small sub-samples and matching the control group on a short pre-1979 series, as done in Borjas (2017), one can find large wage differences between Miami and control because of large measurement error.
Published: Giovanni Peri & Vasil Yasenov, 2019. "The Labor Market Effects of a Refugee Wave," Journal of Human Resources, vol 54(2), pages 267-309.